A Call to Arms - MoP Mechanics Testing

[Klaudandus]

A problem I had with the sets I submitted a while back is that I didn't use a white shield, I used an epic shield... The original request had them asking for club as your weapon, they didn't mention a white quality shield -- but I did use one for today's sets

It's possible I fucked up something on the previous sets -- or rather, it's almost certain -- considering I just logged in back to beta and verified that CS is giving me ~4778 damage

I'm thinking I probably equipped the epic pvp mace by accident

EDIT: Just went back and equipped the mace and the shield, and removed my str trinkets... I hit CS and almost matches the results of #5 from last week... I fail orz

[tlitp]

Theck : Sure enough, we've got blocked criticals. Much to my own amusement, even blocked glancing blows (which weren't there in early beta, IIRC). At this point it seems they went with the easy route, simply injecting another roll for any event that happens to deal damage in the first place.

White attacks are still ‘one roll’ (Miss Dodge Parry Block Glance Crit Hit), and yellow attacks are still ‘two roll’ (Miss Dodge Parry Block, Crit)

Yet another glorious example of misinformation. Gotta love the man. Hell, I wonder how many people still believe that parryhaste is gone "because GC said so".

[theckhd]

It's possible I fucked up something on the previous sets -- or rather, it's almost certain -- considering I just logged in back to beta and verified that CS is giving me ~4778 damage

I'm thinking I probably equipped the epic pvp mace by accident

EDIT: Just went back and equipped the mace and the shield, and removed my str trinkets... I hit CS and almost matches the results of #5 from last week... I fail orz

That's fine, as long as the AP/SP values are correct. I'll just exclude the old results from my fits for weapon-damage-based abilities. The new ones should span the space well enough to give me good results.

[Klaudandus]

good, just let me know if you need anything else, and g'luck with the moving.

[theckhd]

Just checking in - I'm not dead, the move went well, and I'm hoping to get some time to finish up the spell coefficient calculations in the next day or two. I'm over halfway done, but haven't gotten to look at them since last Thursday. So far, all of the ones I've finished match the wowdb tooltips exactly, which was more or less expected.

[Klaudandus]

X-posted because it might be relevant

Q:SOTR hits for about 1/4th of what it hits for on live. CS/HOTR also hit for much, much less.

A:If you post approximate damage numbers for those attacks along with your character level and average ilevel (just the average is fine), we can compare them to our numbers.

http://us.battle.net/wow/en/forum/topic ... 430?page=1

Some reports have prot pallies doing about 60% of a Blood DK, and (apparently due to a bug) 22% of what brewmasters do it.

[theckhd]

Your SotR data exactly matched the tooltip, 617+0.54*AP.

[Klaudandus]

Your SotR data exactly matched the tooltip, 617+0.54*AP.

Any idea why CS is hitting like a wet noodle?

[theckhd]

Not yet, I'm looking at that now. That was the ability I was working on when I had to pack up, and I didn't get a chance to work out the new armor reduction factor before I did that. I was hoping that would fix the discrepancy between data and tooltip.

<edit> but I can't seem to find level 93 armor values. I know I've seen them somewhere recently, but damned if I can find them now that I need them...

[theckhd]

Ok, can't find the armor data, but I can extrapolate based on the melee data. From the max melee swings, I can infer that the physical damage reduction factor [K/(A+K), where K is the armor coefficient tlitp found earlier (25050) and A is the target armor] is around 0.6545. Fitting the CS data with
y=0.6545*(a*x+1123)

gives me:

Code: Select all

General model:
     f(x) = 0.6545*(a*x+1123)
Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =       1.676  (1.648, 1.704)

Goodness of fit:
  SSE: 1.591e+004
  R-square: 0.9988
  Adjusted R-square: 0.9988
  RMSE: 47.67

which isn't too bad given that my 0.6545 is just a rough estimate. We expect the coefficient to be 1.6 based on the tooltip.

[Klaudandus]

tangentially related

Yeah, we will try to add dodge from Agi to the Agi and dodge tooltips. Currently they’re just included in the title of each of those tooltips, which are final values after summing all of the sources and applying DR. The “(before diminishing returns)” line in the dodge tooltip, refers just to the “dodge of X adds Y% dodge” line, not the total. It’s somewhat confusing right now. All of this goes for Strength / parry as well.

[theckhd]

All right, I've validated almost all of the spell details now. Luckily, they all pretty much match the tooltip values (if ones are given). Here's the breakdown for each spell. I'm skipping melee/CS/HotR for the moment, as those three depend on the exact armor mitigation factor. Data and fit information is here: https://sites.google.com/site/matlabadi ... fit_data.m

HammerNova:
Tooltip: (840-1261) + 0.234*AP = (840-1261) + 0.468*AP
Fits (min and max):

Code: Select all

hanova_fit =

     General model:
     hanova_fit(x) = a*x+b
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =      0.4685  (0.4676, 0.4694)
       b =        1254  (1248, 1260)

hanova_gof =

           sse: 181.8413
       rsquare: 1.0000
           dfe: 10
    adjrsquare: 1.0000
          rmse: 4.2643


hanova_fit2 =

     General model:
     hanova_fit2(x) = a*x+b
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =       0.468  (0.4665, 0.4696)
       b =       847.9  (837.1, 858.7)

hanova_gof2 =

           sse: 576.4841
       rsquare: 1.0000
           dfe: 10
    adjrsquare: 1.0000
          rmse: 7.5927


Result: data seems entirely consistent with tooltip values. Tooltip confirmed.

Seal of Truth:
Tooltip: 14% weapon damage
Fit:

Code: Select all

sot_fit =

     General model:
     sot_fit(x) = a*x
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =        0.14  (0.14, 0.1401)

sot_gof =

           sse: 0.0533
       rsquare: 1.0000
           dfe: 7
    adjrsquare: 1.0000
          rmse: 0.0872

Result: Tooltip confirmed.

Censure:
Tooltip: (158+0.138*SP)*5 = 790 + 0.69*SP
Fit:

Code: Select all

cens_fit =

     General model:
     cens_fit(x) = a*x+b
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =      0.6901  (0.69, 0.6901)
       b =       790.2  (789.6, 790.8)

cens_gof =

           sse: 1.6780
       rsquare: 1.0000
           dfe: 10
    adjrsquare: 1.0000
          rmse: 0.4096

Result: Tooltip confirmed

Judgment:
Tooltip: 702 + 0.397*AP + 0.635*SP = 702 + 1.429*SP
Fit:

Code: Select all

j_fit =

     General model:
     j_fit(x) = 702+a*x+b
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =       1.429  (1.429, 1.429)
       b =     -0.2869  (-1.154, 0.5804)

j_gof =

           sse: 3.7250
       rsquare: 1.0000
           dfe: 10
    adjrsquare: 1.0000
          rmse: 0.6103

Result: Tooltip confirmed.

Holy Wrath:
Tooltip: 4300+0.91*SP
Fit:

Code: Select all

hw_fit =

     General model:
     hw_fit(x) = a*x+b
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =        0.91  (0.91, 0.9101)
       b =        4301  (4300, 4301)

hw_gof =

           sse: 1.3406
       rsquare: 1.0000
           dfe: 10
    adjrsquare: 1.0000
          rmse: 0.3661

Result: Tooltip confirmed.

Consecration:
Tooltip: No scaling info provided
Fit:

Code: Select all

cons_fit =

     General model:
     cos_fit(x) = a*x+b
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =        0.12  (0.12, 0.12)
       b =       68.98  (68.89, 69.07)

cons_gof =

           sse: 0.0400
       rsquare: 1.0000
           dfe: 10
    adjrsquare: 1.0000
          rmse: 0.0632

Result: Cons is 69+0.12*SP damage per tick, total of 690+1.2*SP per cast.

Avenger's Shield:
Tooltip: (4039-4937)+0.21*SP+0.545*AP = (4039-4937)+1.30*SP
Fits (min and max):

Code: Select all

as_fit =

     General model:
     as_fit(x) = a*x+b
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =       1.299  (1.296, 1.303)
       b =        4059  (4033, 4085)

as_gof =

           sse: 3.2986e+003
       rsquare: 1.0000
           dfe: 10
    adjrsquare: 1.0000
          rmse: 18.1621


as_fit2 =

     General model:
     as_fit2(x) = a*x+b
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =       1.302  (1.297, 1.307)
       b =        4895  (4861, 4930)

as_gof2 =

           sse: 5.9482e+003
       rsquare: 1.0000
           dfe: 10
    adjrsquare: 1.0000
          rmse: 24.3889

Result: Data seems entirely consistent with tooltip (to 95% CI). Tooltip confirmed.

Shield of the Righteous
Tooltip: 617 + 0.54* AP = 617 + 1.08*SP
Fit:

Code: Select all

sotr_fit =

     General model:
     sotr_fit(x) = a*x+b
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =        1.08  (1.08, 1.08)
       b =       616.8  (616.1, 617.5)

sotr_gof =

           sse: 2.6125
       rsquare: 1.0000
           dfe: 10
    adjrsquare: 1.0000
          rmse: 0.5111

Result: Tooltip confirmed.

[theckhd]

By the way, here's what I have for melee, CS, and HotR (phys). I'm using the melee max data to determine the armor coefficient, and using that to fit CS and HotR:

Code: Select all

melee_fit =

     General model:
     melee_fit(x) = a*x
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =      0.6545  (0.6453, 0.6637)

melee_gof =

           sse: 2.5220e+003
       rsquare: 0.9991
           dfe: 7
    adjrsquare: 0.9991
          rmse: 18.9814


cs_fit =

     General model:
     cs_fit(x) = 0.6545*(a*x+b)
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =       1.707  (1.661, 1.753)
       b =        1043  (942.4, 1143)

cs_gof =

           sse: 9.7370e+003
       rsquare: 0.9993
           dfe: 6
    adjrsquare: 0.9991
          rmse: 40.2844


hotr_fit =

     General model:
     hotr_fit(x) = 0.6545*a*x
     Coefficients (with 95% confidence bounds):
       a =      0.1992  (0.1989, 0.1995)

hotr_gof =

           sse: 0.8558
       rsquare: 1.0000
           dfe: 7
    adjrsquare: 1.0000
          rmse: 0.3496

CS is a bit high at 1.7x weapon damage instead of 1.6x. Note that CS is based off of normalized weapon damage, while HotR is not. Once I have level 93 armor values, I'll use the exact values and see if I can do better.

[theckhd]

By the way, I wouldn't mind a data set with which to test Seal of Righteousness/Insight, Hammer of Wrath, Holy Prism, Execution Sentence, and Light's Hammer. Bonus points if you can test Sacred Shield / Eternal Flame somehow.

[Klaudandus]

Ok, I'll work on friday, or maybe tomorrow afternoon. (Got a raid in 20 mins =P)
Should I do the Naked + 7 for each Seal? Would 10 minutes of data per seal be enough or should I do 15 at least?